Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.418753 1.628221 1.858407 2.130212 2.442532 2.790344 3.207329
2025-06-29 1.081672 1.345039 1.658549 2.059606 2.559652 3.163428 3.949201
2025-07-06 0.831505 1.107615 1.459658 1.942169 2.587714 3.423661 4.591934
2025-07-13 0.717341 1.015781 1.420249 2.009785 2.849790 4.007841 5.733173
2025-07-20 0.634063 0.948433 1.398476 2.091750 3.137229 4.662339 7.069920
2025-07-27 0.564193 0.886825 1.372177 2.158341 3.406648 5.323756 8.514295
2025-08-03 0.498275 0.819434 1.324926 2.182173 3.609150 5.906467 9.919869
2025-08-10 0.427851 0.733331 1.234476 2.120897 3.661818 6.252507 10.985390
2025-08-17 0.361950 0.644489 1.126047 2.011612 3.614047 6.418555 11.759110
2025-08-24 0.320357 0.591343 1.070182 1.983771 3.700949 6.822950 13.007159
2025-08-31 0.284087 0.542453 1.014759 1.947701 3.765251 7.190762 14.233980
2025-09-07 0.268636 0.530012 1.023764 2.032389 4.066852 8.037330 16.502293
2025-09-14 0.245196 0.500223 0.998436 2.051807 4.253591 8.707320 18.562983
2025-09-21 0.219427 0.462289 0.952320 2.023333 4.340273 9.191877 20.321902
2025-09-28 0.190817 0.414516 0.879984 1.930002 4.277277 9.357528 21.420911
2025-10-05 0.181222 0.405904 0.888020 2.010576 4.603855 10.405643 24.667760
2025-10-12 0.173129 0.399425 0.899674 2.100735 4.965239 11.583326 28.409071
2025-10-19 0.164252 0.389890 0.903180 2.172538 5.294472 12.734873 32.277145
2025-10-26 0.153099 0.373455 0.888672 2.199431 5.519733 13.672502 35.766748
2025-11-02 0.137703 0.344675 0.841336 2.139305 5.520562 14.061536 37.907149
2025-11-09 0.121283 0.311116 0.778047 2.029963 5.379468 14.072009 39.040737
2025-11-16 0.111098 0.292014 0.748077 2.002386 5.448630 14.636223 41.785965
2025-11-23 0.101536 0.273256 0.716559 1.966269 5.489586 15.131567 44.420939